Jean-Pierre Beugoms, «Who Will Win the Republican Party Nomination for the U.S. Presidential Election?», Good Judgment Open, November 18, 2015, .
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Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (New York: Random House, 2015); Philip E. Tetlock, Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2005).